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Thread: How many points do we need to avoid the drop?

  1. #1
    Retired Layabout Rootshallbloke's Avatar
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    Default How many points do we need to avoid the drop?

    There is always a lot of talk about the number of points needed for Southend not to end up in the bottom 4 at the end of the season. 50 points appears to be the bench mark but I've never truly known why. Is that figure based on previous seasons stats, or have there been clubs relegated recently having reached that total?

    Points experts, what's our bottom line for another season in FL1?
    What if the Hokey Cokey is what it's all about?

  2. #2

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    Get the median value of the points gained by the last relegated teams from the last 10 years.

  3. #3

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    For me it's 55 points, as we have been relegated before after securing 54 points. Granted not really recent though. It was back in the late 80's.

  4. #4

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    50.....end of ....
    DlPaBllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllll's

  5. #5

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    Quote Originally Posted by MK Shrimper View Post
    Get the median value of the points gained by the last relegated team. Find me the data and I'll do it.
    49 points last season and a better than -25 goal difference would have been enough last season.
    46 points and a better goal difference than -16 enough in 2015/6
    50 points and a better goal difference than -18 enough in 2014/5

    Right somebody else carry on.

  6. #6

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    Quote Originally Posted by mattitouk View Post
    For me it's 55 points, as we have been relegated before after securing 54 points. Granted not really recent though. It was back in the late 80's.
    Can't see 4th from bottom getting anywhere near 55 points this season.

  7. #7

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    52 should be enough

  8. #8
    Light & Bitter The Big Dady's Avatar
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    We need one more point (that the team 4th from bottom).
    Wiggle it, just a little bit!

  9. #9

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    Quote Originally Posted by The Big Dady View Post
    We need one more point (that the team 4th from bottom).
    Or the same points with a better goal difference.

  10. #10

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    Quote Originally Posted by Up the Shrimpers View Post
    Or the same points with a better goal difference.
    That scenario won't happen

  11. #11

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    If we average a point a game in our remaining games, then we should be ok.

  12. #12

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    Quote Originally Posted by Up the Shrimpers View Post
    Or the same points with a better goal difference.
    Quote Originally Posted by Stuart W View Post
    That scenario won't happen
    No it probably won't happen. But it can happen remember 1989 when we were relegated on goal difference.

  13. #13
    Life President RobM's Avatar
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    I will relax on 55. Maybe I'm "Safety first".
    That Curly Bob is a jolly good chap!

  14. #14
    Life President RobM's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Up the Shrimpers View Post
    No it probably won't happen. But it can happen remember 1989 when we were relegated on goal difference.
    Yes, GD sent us down - on 54 points!
    That Curly Bob is a jolly good chap!

  15. #15
    Life President C C Csiders's Avatar
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    I always think breathe at 55 as remember going down on 54.
    Twitter: @RobertFox278 SIMPLICITER SE NUNQUAM DIMISIT

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