A very slight dose of reality - If i've done my maths right!

[Agent Lomas]

With York surprisingly now level on points with us, in 7th with a +8 goal difference compared to their +6, anything less than a win against Bristol Rovers on Friday (and hoping York lose against Pompey at Fratton Park on saturday) would be a disaster.

This winless run needs to come to an end sooner rather than later and if we keep going the way we are we will finish mid-table, undoubtedly. Apart from our draw with Scunny, we haven't played like a top 7 team for ages.

York (52 pts), Plymouth (51 pts and have a game in hand on us) & Hartlepool (49 pts) can all move into the play-offs with wins in their next respective matches. Hartlepool mathmatically, as they would need to beat Oxford away on Friday by 4 or more goals.

The only game being played tomorrow night that could affect our league position is Plymouth v Chesterfield

Top 10:


1. Chesterfield - P - 37 / GD - 26 / PTS - 66
2. Scunthorpe - P - 37 / GD - 21 / PTS - 65
3. Rochdale - P -36 / GD - 17 / PTS - 64
-------------------------------------------
4. Fleetwood - P - 37 / GD - 12 / PTS - 61
5. Burton - P -37 / GD - 5 / PTS - 61
6. Oxford - P - 37 / GD - 11 / PTS - 56
7. Blues - P - 37 / GD - 8 / PTS - 52
-------------------------------------------
8. York - P - 37 / GD - 6 / PTS 52
9. Plymouth - P 36 / GD - 0 / PTS - 51
10. Hartlepool - P - 37 / GD - 4 / PTS - 49

 

[Tangled up in Blue]

I noticed Newport got a point yesterday,With all their games in hand they can't be ruled out yet either.

 

[Kevin Hogg]

WE have to win games. The other teams hardly matter. Unless we start winning and then keep winning - the maths are not going to come into it.

 

[mgh]

Final league 2 table from last year - at least we're safe now!

Pos	Name	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
1	Gillingham	46	23	14	9	66	39	27	83
2	Rotherham	46	24	7	15	74	59	15	79
3	Port Vale	46	21	15	10	87	52	35	78
4	Burton	46	22	10	14	71	65	6	76
5	Cheltenham	46	20	15	11	58	51	7	75
6	Northampton	46	21	10	15	64	55	9	73
7	Bradford City	46	18	15	13	63	52	11	69
8	Chesterfield	46	18	13	15	60	45	15	67
9	Oxford United	46	19	8	19	60	61	-1	65
10	Exeter City	46	18	10	18	63	62	1	64
11	Southend	46	16	13	17	61	55	6	61
12	Rochdale	46	16	13	17	68	70	-2	61
13	Fleetwood Town	46	15	15	16	55	57	-2	60
14	Bristol Rovers	46	16	12	18	60	69	-9	60
15	Wycombe	46	17	9	20	50	60	-10	60
16	Morecambe	46	15	13	18	55	61	-6	58
17	York City	46	12	19	15	50	60	-10	55
18	Accrington	46	14	12	20	51	68	-17	54
19	Torquay United	46	13	14	19	55	62	-7	53
20	AFC Wimbledon	46	14	11	21	54	76	-22	53
21	Plymouth	46	13	13	20	46	55	-9	52
22	Dagenham & R	46	13	12	21	55	62	-7	51
23	Barnet	46	13	12	21	47	59	-12	51
24	Aldershot Town	46	11	15	20	42	60	-18	48

 

[MK Shrimper]

Can do all the maths in the world, the fact is we realistically need to win 6 of the remaining 9 left.

Good luck with that.

 

[ooh-andy-ansah]

With York surprisingly now level on points with us, in 7th with a +8 goal difference compared to their +6, anything less than a win against Bristol Rovers on Friday (and hoping York lose against Pompey at Fratton Park on saturday) would be a disaster.

Why a disaster does the season end this weekend then ? :duh:

 

[united we stand]

Its actually potentially far worse than I think we realize. (again assuming no errors)

For the next two games, NONE of the seven teams below us play each other, in the third match only Hartlepool play Cheltenham. So 6 of the teams below us could potentially get 9 points in the next three games , in other words if we don't win some of our next three matches then realistically we are going to be overtaken , by teams with game(s) in hand over us.

On the other hand of course if Oxford implode we could catch them

 

[Mick]

I noticed Newport got a point yesterday,With all their games in hand they can't be ruled out yet either.

Given they were at home to the team in 22nd, I prefer to think of that as two points dropped rather than a point gained !! Newport are on a similar vein of form to us.

 

[Jamie Manktelow]

Its actually potentially far worse than I think we realize. (again assuming no errors)

For the next two games, NONE of the seven teams below us play each other, in the third match only Hartlepool play Cheltenham. So 6 of the teams below us could potentially get 9 points in the next three games , in other words if we don't win some of our next three matches then realistically we are going to be overtaken , by teams with game(s) in hand over us.

On the other hand of course if Oxford implode we could catch them

Oxford No win in 6
Southend No win in 11.
Monday night football live from Roots Hall looks like a cracker..Ha!

 

[Mick]

Oxford No win in 6
Southend No win in 11.
Monday night football live from Roots Hall looks like a cracker..Ha!

Indeed and the only team Newport have beaten in their last 14 is Oxford. Don't these teams want to go up !!!

 

[Uncle Leo]

No point worrying about the others. We need to get our own house in order. As the late Al Davis was fond of saying...

 

[geoffmundo]

Final league 2 table from last year - at least we're safe now!

Pos	Name	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
1	Gillingham	46	23	14	9	66	39	27	83
2	Rotherham	46	24	7	15	74	59	15	79
3	Port Vale	46	21	15	10	87	52	35	78
4	Burton	46	22	10	14	71	65	6	76
5	Cheltenham	46	20	15	11	58	51	7	75
6	Northampton	46	21	10	15	64	55	9	73
7	Bradford City	46	18	15	13	63	52	11	69
8	Chesterfield	46	18	13	15	60	45	15	67
9	Oxford United	46	19	8	19	60	61	-1	65
10	Exeter City	46	18	10	18	63	62	1	64
11	Southend	46	16	13	17	61	55	6	61
12	Rochdale	46	16	13	17	68	70	-2	61
13	Fleetwood Town	46	15	15	16	55	57	-2	60
14	Bristol Rovers	46	16	12	18	60	69	-9	60
15	Wycombe	46	17	9	20	50	60	-10	60
16	Morecambe	46	15	13	18	55	61	-6	58
17	York City	46	12	19	15	50	60	-10	55
18	Accrington	46	14	12	20	51	68	-17	54
19	Torquay United	46	13	14	19	55	62	-7	53
20	AFC Wimbledon	46	14	11	21	54	76	-22	53
21	Plymouth	46	13	13	20	46	55	-9	52
22	Dagenham & R	46	13	12	21	55	62	-7	51
23	Barnet	46	13	12	21	47	59	-12	51
24	Aldershot Town	46	11	15	20	42	60	-18	48

I'd forgotten that Bradford finished 7th and went up (69 points).

 

[southchurch]

I'd forgotten that Bradford finished 7th and went up (69 points).

It could be worse. Northampton finished 6th and are now sitting 23rd and looking at the conference.
9 games to go and we need 9 more points to match last seasons 61pts. I think it will be a very close thing.

 

[Tommy2holes]

Just shows what bad luck it was to finish outside tha autos a few seasons back with 81 points.

 

[davewebbsbrain]

Just shows what bad luck it was to finish outside tha autos a few seasons back with 81 points.

83 points you mean

 

[buffalowolf]

Yeah 83pts would have had us equal 1st last season with Gillingham,some things just dont seem right do they.But Aldershite got their just rewards.

 

[Jamie Manktelow]

Getting 83 points with sturrock in that season, just shows how awful that league was! Not how well we did, cos if we did well, we would not have bottled being top!

 

[OldBlueLady]

It could be worse. Northampton finished 6th and are now sitting 23rd and looking at the conference.
9 games to go and we need 9 more points to match last seasons 61pts. I think it will be a very close thing.

9 more turgid draws ahead then :facepalm:

 

[Agent Lomas]

I'd forgotten that Bradford finished 7th and went up (69 points).

Past 2 seasons the team that has finished 7th has won the play-offs. Crewe, then Bradford. Maybe finishing 7th isn't as bad as we think...

 

[Jam_Man]

Getting 83 points with sturrock in that season, just shows how awful that league was! Not how well we did, cos if we did well, we would not have bottled being top!

And this league is good this year?! This year may be closer but Ive not seen anyone as good as the likes of Swindon.

83 points in that year was a massive achievement, and even if the league was easier to get 20+ points more than this season was far better achievement than what we have done this year.