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All is not lost

fbm

Blue tinted optimist
Joined
Oct 28, 2003
Messages
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Location
Cloud cuckoo land
#1
So, like most of us I guess, I have been pretty darn depressed since the ******* referee cost us a win v Walsall and thought that it was pretty much done and dusted now.

But this morning I have had a look at the remaining fixtures for all the other teams and this is far from done. Having not won since January (but having come so close!) surely a win is going to happen sooner or later. Could that **** of a ref's decisions actually kick us into survival mode and produce the siege mentality that we need? Unlike the Blackpool result which was a hammer blow, this was an absolute injustice. And sometimes it needs that "We've got to play 12 men" attitude that actually can force a team to really adopt that siege mentality and fighting spirit so evident last Friday and so absent in many other matches.

So let's have a look at all the remaining fixtures, together with my predictions - I'll ignore goal difference as that is worth a point to us (which, as you see, could be crucial).

Southend - We are know our games. I think a win, loss and draw, I have no idea really in what order but if pushed I fancy us to beat Rochdale, draw v Burton and come up short v Sunderland.

Total - 48 points with a superior goal difference. Is that enough? No way, I hear many of you say, but look at the other sides and their opponents.


Bradford - already down and I think the only team we have done the double over this season. But they still have a huge part to play - home to Wimbledon and Gillingham and away to Scunthorpe. I think their games are the most crucial and am praying that to play with no pressure will enable them to take a point against Wimbledon and Scunthorpe. If they wanted to be really benevolent they could win at least one of them to really help. Go Bradford! Let's give Gillingham the points in their other game which will leave Bradford bottom with 38 points.

Walsall - A really poor side and I can't see the getting very much at all. They are home to Peterborough who need the wins for the play offs and away to Shrewsbury and Wycombe (who are another club with a real part to play!). I'm not giving them anything - 43 points.

Rochdale - Here we go... their last home game is against us and I think we will nick the points there. They have away games at Charlton and Bristol Rovers and again, I can't see them getting another point, finishing with 48 points.

Scunthorpe - Charlton and Plymouth away, Bradford at home. I think a defeat at Charlton and 2 draws. That will leave them with 48 points.


So if these results pan out, we finish 5th bottom with 48 points and a superior goal difference. Now some of you might be thinking that these are all orchestrated pie in the sky results, but actually, it can work out very much in our favour in other ways.

Look at the other fixtures -

Wimbledon - Home to Wycombe, away at Doncaster and Luton. I can't see them getting anything from their away games and I have them beating Wycombe. But if Wycombe win, that leaves Wimbledon with 46 points and below us.

Plymouth - Not out of it and have games at home to Barnsley and Scunthorpe, and away to Accrington. I have them losing v Barnsley and drawing the other 2 to leave them on 49 points. But if they beat Scunny. then Scunny drop further and if they lose all 3, Scunny are clear but Plymouth finish on 48 points with an inferior goal difference to us.

Accrington - home to Plymouth and away at Doncaster and Portsmouth. I can't see them getting any points v Pompey and Donny, and the one point I think they will get v Plymouth gives them 49. But again, take that point away and they are on 48, same as us with an inferior goal difference.

Wycombe - Home to Fleetwood and Walsall and away to Wimbledon. 2 crucial games here. I have a win v Walsall, a loss to the Wombles and a draw v Fleetwood to give them 51 points. Personally I want them to win everything to get well clear and if they did, it would dump Wimbledon down. But if the worst happens and they lose all three, they will only have 47 points.

So it doesn't really matter which teams do what, other than we must get at least 4 points. I think if the unthinkable happens and we get 2 wins, we will be clear whatever as because the teams are playing each other, they can't all get the points. In fact, if the results really all went in our favour, it would be possible to stay up with just 47 points meaning only one win was necessary... as long as it was against Rochdale.

If you fancy having a go yourself, I found it here on the Ipswich website -

https://www.twtd.co.uk/league-calculator/?step=2&lge=3


And we all know what will happen... we'll lose the next 2, get relegated and then beat Sunderland. Put money on it.

But all is not lost Shrimpers.

COME ON YOU BLUES, for ****s sake.

EDITED - amended Accrington entry
 
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