South Essex constituencies for 2015

[Uncle Leo]

Our politics guru, knowing I'm an Essex man, has sent me the Ladbrokes odds for next year. Looks like the Conservatives have it all sealed up down that way...

Southend West
1/50 Conservatives
25 Liberal Democrats
25 UKIP
100 Labour

Rochford & Southend East
1/50 Conservatives
20 Labour
20 UKIP
100 Liberal Democrats

Castle Point
1/8 Conservatives
5 UKIP
100 Liberal Democrats
100 Labour

 

[Uncle Leo]

Also, Farage is 16/1 to stand in Castle Point. Bets void if he doesn't stand anywhere.

http://sportsbeta.ladbrokes.com/British/Nigel-Farage-Specials/Politics-N-1z131s4Z1z0qpp3Z1z141ne/

 

[Shrimpers are Magic]

Also, Farage is 16/1 to stand in Castle Point. Bets void if he doesn't stand anywhere.

http://sportsbeta.ladbrokes.com/British/Nigel-Farage-Specials/Politics-N-1z131s4Z1z0qpp3Z1z141ne/

Don't suppose there is any point in having a score on Belfast West is there?

 

[OldBlueLady]

Really? Why here? I would have thought he'd do better to stand against someone like Amess?

 

[Uncle Leo]

Really? Why here? I would have thought he'd do better to stand against someone like Amess?

Well the odds suggest it's not particularly likely! I suppose Castle Point has been a bit of interesting seat in recent elections after the the very steady Bernard Braine era, both Con and Lab winning and of course good old Bob Spink.

There was a suggestion in The Times today that Farage could do worse than Austin Mitchell's Greater Grimsby constituency (from which the veteran MP is stepping down next year).

 

[OldBlueLady]

Well the odds suggest it's not particularly likely! I suppose Castle Point has been a bit of interesting seat in recent elections after the the very steady Bernard Braine era, both Con and Lab winning and of course good old Bob Spink.

There was a suggestion in The Times today that Farage could do worse than Austin Mitchell's Greater Grimsby constituency (from which the veteran MP is stepping down next year).

Spink has made himself very unpopular lately with the plans for developing land which includes part of his property. We have an excellent MP in Rebecca Harris at the moment and I hope she continues to represent the area.

 

[Benfleet A1]

When Bernard Braine was MP for Castle Point they never bothered to count the Tory vote, they just weighed it. Spink had some big boots to fill and on the whole did pretty well. The Referendem Party took 2700 votes of Spink 1997 which let Labour in and gave CP the very useless Christine Butler, and boy was she useless.

Unsurprisingly, Spink got back in 2001 and absolutely smashed home in 2005 with almost a 9000 majority. I'm not sure what Harris's majority is but I have heard she works very hard for her constituantes which will probably be enough to see her back in the HofC after the next election.

Farage wouldn't even consider standing in CP as previous elections suggest that there is only a passing interest in UKIP and he would most likely lose his deposit. I think he will stand in the Thanet area where he has a large supporter base as does UKIP. But we will see.

 

[Mad Cyril]

It is simply staggering that Southend elects Conservative MPs.

I can only assume voter apathy because the majority have nothing to gain from a Conservative government.

Living in castle Point it is also disturbing that UKIP are only priced at fives.