£12bn, where did you get that figure? What is that as a percentage of GDP, maybe less than 0.5%
The EU doesn't stop us trading with anyone. Trade barriers tend to be set by individual countries. The EU has removed trade barriers within the EU and levelled the playing field. For example, air fairs are now consistent across the EU. It has also 'opened up' air space to allow low cost airlines to such Ryanair to operate therefore creating jobs.
From what I have heard over the last few months regarding the steel industry, its demise has been put down to China dumping cheap steel on the market and excessive fuel costs in the UK. Of course our own government could choose to do something about that, but they have decided not to. I do not think us being out of the EU will suddenly mean we can save the steel industry. Indeed China is one of those markets we would want to trade with.
I do not know enough about the Fishing Industry to make a comment, and all the 'EU ruined the fishing industry' articles I could find were from the right-wing press. But if you can find some independent articles to post I will read them.
According to UCL, immigrants from the 10 countries that joined the EU in 2004 contributed more to the UK than they took out in benefits. They added £4.96bn more in taxes in the years to 2011 than they took out in public services. For balance, these figures are disputed by Migration Watch. However, if migration does bring extra money into the country and the government of the day chooses not to spend that income wisely, then that is not the fault of the EU.
Are wages really suppressed by migrants? This article suggests the impact is either small or very small and is worth a read: http://www.niesr.ac.uk/blog/how-small-small-impact-immigration-uk-wages#.Vs4qIjYrHIU
Interesting stuff.
I saw the figure of 12 billion and thought it was way too low...I believe it to be based on the figure of what we pay in, less what we get back with net contributions standing at around 33 million per day.
To me this is a very crude calculation and should be much higher.
As a net figure your 1/2 a per cent of GDP would I think be generous, have you worked out as a gross though?
Also the EU memberships cost only ever go up....and the UK pay in the second highest amount.
As far as your comments on trade deals are concerned, the EU negotiates on our behalf (outside of the single market)....and then businesses go in and do the rest.
So in effect the benefit of leaving the EU (as far as trade is concerned) is we would no longer be one of 28 members and would not be burdened by their regulation and could seek trade as and when we, as Nation see fit.
If we turn your argument on it's head we gave up our Commonwealth market to a large extent when we entered the EEC, in effect what many are saying can't be done already has been....
The Steel industry is an interesting one as the EU are now actually threatening action against China, and investigating what actually happened across the continent, they are also introducing provisional tariffs to try and protect that industry.
This of course is academic now as 1000's of jobs are already lost, and that may not be the end of it.
There is only so far a government can go in protecting certain industries due to EU regulations, however it was an EU decision not to raise tariffs and protect steel jobs.
The decline of our fishing Industry is directly attributable to EU policy where uk fishing rights shrank overnight from 200 (nautical) miles to 12, then add to that EU policies that have been counter productive.
If it's unbiased information on the EU and their fisheries policy you want, I would suggest that you look at why Greenland left (and to a lesser extent why Norway doesn't join).
If you're still not convinced look into why Iceland chooses not to join.
In terms of migration that is good for the economy why on earth would you want the EU's model?
Surely you want the best people to come to the UK, why have a system that discriminates?
Did the UCL study you mentioned include the costs of schooling? healthcare?, social care? impact on housing costs? or was it just taxes raised minus welfare benefits paid?
I'm not sure what you do for a living, but is it ok for you to earn less because of migration, regardless of the amount?