londonblue
Topgun Pilot
- Joined
- Feb 18, 2004
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Unless we resort to legally questionable methods I can't see how this will win the vote. It will be exactly 100 years since the first world cup took place. I'd be amazed if they don't go with the joint South American bid simply because it means they could host the final in the Estadio Centenario, a stadium that was originally built specifically to host the first ever World Cup finals in 1930. Holding off until the 2034 process would make a lot more sense to me.
I don't think that's how it works otherwise a South America coalition wouldn't have announced their intention to bid. As far as I know there is no rule saying a specific continent has to host the world cup, instead the rule is just that it can't take place in the same federation as one the 2 previous world cups (so North America and Asia won't be allowed to bid for the 2030 world cup since 2022 is in Qatar and 2026 is a joint effort in USA, Mexico and Canada).I think the various associations take it in turns, so I assume 2030 will be Europe's turn, and that is why they've chosen a date that far ahead.
I don't think that's how it works otherwise a South America coalition wouldn't have announced their intention to bid. As far as I know there is no rule saying a specific continent has to host the world cup, instead the rule is just that it can't take place in the same federation as one the 2 previous world cups (so North America and Asia won't be allowed to bid for the 2030 world cup since 2022 is in Qatar and 2026 is a joint effort in USA, Mexico and Canada).
It is how it used to work. They may have ditched that policy though.
I've looked it up and it looks like they did rotate for a couple of world cups but the policy no longer exists.
Historically they didn't rotate but when Germany got it in 2006 there was a lot of controversy because South Africa only lost to Germany by a single vote and likely would have won the bid if Charlie Dempsey (who had previously said he'd vote for SA having been instructed to by his federation) hadn't decided to abstain at the last minute (possibly without his federation's consent). The scandal around SA's loss lead to FIFA announcing they'd rotate the continents (basically guarenteeing SA would win the 2010 bid as no other African nation would be able to compete with them) but they dropped this policy in 2018 and since then have reverted back to letting anyone bid so long as their continent hadn't hosted one of the last 2 world cups.