united we stand
Life President⭐
I wrote the below just before the Accrington match. At the time I only did the top 5 as we were eight points clear of sixth. I thought it would be interesting to do again every couple of matches.
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There are lies , dame lies and statistics and I could do the same thing next week and get a different outcome (assuming my maths is fine). Obviously there are a number of games where teams play each other which will have an impact, but the below is still currently mathematically possible in all cases. So for those who like this sort of thing here goes..
12[SUP]th[/SUP] Feb 16 games to go (luton 17)
If Shrewsbury continue their form to date they are on 89 points, if they continue their form from the last 10 matches-92 points
If Burton continue their form to date they are on 89 points, if they continue their form from the last 10 matches-93 points
If Wycombe continue their form to date they are on 86 points, if they continue their form from the last 10 matches-80 points (if they win Saturday this moves to 86 points)
If Southend continue their form to date they are on 83 points, if they continue their form from the last 10 matches-80 points (if they win Saturday this moves to 86 points)
If Luton continue their form to date they are on 78 points, if they continue their form from the last 10 matches-80 points
I think we are all agreed that it is going to take a big number to guarantee promotion. Even 2 points a match from here to the end of season (which is what we have for the last 10 games) may not be enough. The Wycombe (home) and Luton (home) games and Burton (away)s could be massive
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23[SUP]rd[/SUP] Feb ---14 games to go
If Shrewsbury continue their form to date they are on 88 points, if they continue their form from the last 10 matches-86 points
If Burton continue their form to date they are on 92 points, if they continue their form from the last 10 matches-93 points
If Wycombe continue their form to date they are on 85 points, if they continue their form from the last 10 matches-81 points
If Southend continue their form to date they are on 78 points, if they continue their form from the last 10 matches-76 points
If Luton continue their form to date they are on 79 points, if they continue their form from the last 10 matches-75 points
If Plymouth continue their form to date they are on 75 points, if they continue their form from the last 10 matches-73 points
If Bury continue their form to date they are on 75 points, if they continue their form from the last 10 matches-77 points
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3 March ---12 games to go
If Shrewsbury continue their form to date they are on 87 points, if they continue their form from the last 10 matches-89 points
If Burton continue their form to date they are on 87 points, if they continue their form from the last 10 matches-86 points
If Wycombe continue their form to date they are on 85 points, if they continue their form from the last 10 matches-82 points
If Southend continue their form to date they are on 78 points, if they continue their form from the last 10 matches-80 points
If Luton continue their form to date they are on 78 points, if they continue their form from the last 10 matches-76 points
If Newport continue their form to date they are on 72 points, if they continue their form from the last 10 matches-65 points
If Bury continue their form to date they are on 75 points, if they continue their form from the last 10 matches-77 points
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16 March 10 games to go
--If Shrewsbury continue their form to date they are on 83 points, if they continue their form from the last 10 matches-82 points
If Burton continue their form to date they are on 89 points, if they continue their form from the last 10 matches-90 points
If Wycombe continue their form to date they are on 86 points, if they continue their form from the last 10 matches-83 points
If Southend continue their form to date they are on 79 points, if they continue their form from the last 10 matches-80 points
If Luton continue their form to date they are on 74 points, if they continue their form from the last 10 matches-69 points
If Plymouth continue their form to date they are on 72 points, if they continue their form from the last 10 matches-73 points
If Bury continue their form to date they are on 77 points, if they continue their form from the last 10 matches-81 points -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
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There are lies , dame lies and statistics and I could do the same thing next week and get a different outcome (assuming my maths is fine). Obviously there are a number of games where teams play each other which will have an impact, but the below is still currently mathematically possible in all cases. So for those who like this sort of thing here goes..
12[SUP]th[/SUP] Feb 16 games to go (luton 17)
If Shrewsbury continue their form to date they are on 89 points, if they continue their form from the last 10 matches-92 points
If Burton continue their form to date they are on 89 points, if they continue their form from the last 10 matches-93 points
If Wycombe continue their form to date they are on 86 points, if they continue their form from the last 10 matches-80 points (if they win Saturday this moves to 86 points)
If Southend continue their form to date they are on 83 points, if they continue their form from the last 10 matches-80 points (if they win Saturday this moves to 86 points)
If Luton continue their form to date they are on 78 points, if they continue their form from the last 10 matches-80 points
I think we are all agreed that it is going to take a big number to guarantee promotion. Even 2 points a match from here to the end of season (which is what we have for the last 10 games) may not be enough. The Wycombe (home) and Luton (home) games and Burton (away)s could be massive
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23[SUP]rd[/SUP] Feb ---14 games to go
If Shrewsbury continue their form to date they are on 88 points, if they continue their form from the last 10 matches-86 points
If Burton continue their form to date they are on 92 points, if they continue their form from the last 10 matches-93 points
If Wycombe continue their form to date they are on 85 points, if they continue their form from the last 10 matches-81 points
If Southend continue their form to date they are on 78 points, if they continue their form from the last 10 matches-76 points
If Luton continue their form to date they are on 79 points, if they continue their form from the last 10 matches-75 points
If Plymouth continue their form to date they are on 75 points, if they continue their form from the last 10 matches-73 points
If Bury continue their form to date they are on 75 points, if they continue their form from the last 10 matches-77 points
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3 March ---12 games to go
If Shrewsbury continue their form to date they are on 87 points, if they continue their form from the last 10 matches-89 points
If Burton continue their form to date they are on 87 points, if they continue their form from the last 10 matches-86 points
If Wycombe continue their form to date they are on 85 points, if they continue their form from the last 10 matches-82 points
If Southend continue their form to date they are on 78 points, if they continue their form from the last 10 matches-80 points
If Luton continue their form to date they are on 78 points, if they continue their form from the last 10 matches-76 points
If Newport continue their form to date they are on 72 points, if they continue their form from the last 10 matches-65 points
If Bury continue their form to date they are on 75 points, if they continue their form from the last 10 matches-77 points
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16 March 10 games to go
--If Shrewsbury continue their form to date they are on 83 points, if they continue their form from the last 10 matches-82 points
If Burton continue their form to date they are on 89 points, if they continue their form from the last 10 matches-90 points
If Wycombe continue their form to date they are on 86 points, if they continue their form from the last 10 matches-83 points
If Southend continue their form to date they are on 79 points, if they continue their form from the last 10 matches-80 points
If Luton continue their form to date they are on 74 points, if they continue their form from the last 10 matches-69 points
If Plymouth continue their form to date they are on 72 points, if they continue their form from the last 10 matches-73 points
If Bury continue their form to date they are on 77 points, if they continue their form from the last 10 matches-81 points -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
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