Once we get 55 points I will start looking upwards
I doubt if many of them have been relegated with 54 points before and , as a result, are probably not quite so pessimistic.Only the top 5 are safe then...
Our away form needs to improve for us to even have a shot of doing this, we've played 2 away matches under Powell and scored 1 goal (which was a penalty).
Yeah, and Rochdale beating the plastic Franchise tomorrow night would be a bonus also.
The only downside to them winning tonight, and looking at some of Saturdays League One fixtures, if things don't go our away against Oldham, we could be closer to the relegation zone again.
The flip-side of course being that if we win the next 5 games against what, on paper, looks like average opposition, suddenly 10/13 becomes 5/8 going into the Rotherham game. At that point, we could be sizing them up as Play off rivals....
Date | Opponents | Venue | Win% | Draw% | Lose% | Points | |
24-Feb | Oldham | Away | 29.54% | 26.78% | 43.67% | 1.15 | |
03-Mar | Walsall | Home | 48.73% | 27.75% | 23.50% | 1.74 | |
10-Mar | Doncaster | Home | 38.48% | 30.04% | 31.46% | 1.46 | |
13-Mar | Rochdale | Away | 29.54% | 26.78% | 43.67% | 1.15 | |
17-Mar | Blackpool | Away | 31.15% | 27.31% | 41.53% | 1.21 | |
24-Mar | Rotherham | Home | 29.85% | 29.15% | 40.98% | 1.19 | |
30-Mar | Plymouth | Away | 21.28% | 26.32% | 52.38% | 0.90 | |
02-Apr | Gillingham | Home | 45.46% | 28.41% | 26.11% | 1.65 | |
07-Apr | Blackburn | Away | 14.93% | 21.74% | 63.31% | 0.67 | |
14-Apr | Oxford | Away | 31.15% | 27.31% | 41.53% | 1.21 | |
21-Apr | MK Dons | Home | 52.38% | 26.32% | 21.28% | 1.83 | |
28-Apr | Bradford | Away | 21.28% | 26.32% | 52.38% | 0.90 | |
05-May | Bristol Rovers | Home | 45.46% | 28.41% | 26.11% | 1.65 | |
Total | 16.71 |
Based on current form (Which will obviously change).
Based on computer simulations from thousands of historical matches (Reasonably accurate).
Below is the Computer estimate on how many points Southend will accumulate from their remaining 13 matches.
Date Opponents Venue Win% Draw% Lose% Points 24-Feb Oldham Away 29.54% 26.78% 43.67% 1.15 03-Mar Walsall Home 48.73% 27.75% 23.50% 1.74 10-Mar Doncaster Home 38.48% 30.04% 31.46% 1.46 13-Mar Rochdale Away 29.54% 26.78% 43.67% 1.15 17-Mar Blackpool Away 31.15% 27.31% 41.53% 1.21 24-Mar Rotherham Home 29.85% 29.15% 40.98% 1.19 30-Mar Plymouth Away 21.28% 26.32% 52.38% 0.90 02-Apr Gillingham Home 45.46% 28.41% 26.11% 1.65 07-Apr Blackburn Away 14.93% 21.74% 63.31% 0.67 14-Apr Oxford Away 31.15% 27.31% 41.53% 1.21 21-Apr MK Dons Home 52.38% 26.32% 21.28% 1.83 28-Apr Bradford Away 21.28% 26.32% 52.38% 0.90 05-May Bristol Rovers Home 45.46% 28.41% 26.11% 1.65 Total 16.71
This is telling us that Southend are expected to accumulate another 16.71 points, totaling 60.71 points for the season and ending in a very comfortable 13th position in the table.