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fbm

Blue tinted optimist⭐
Joined
Oct 28, 2003
Messages
10,055
Location
Cloud cuckoo land
3 defeats on the bounce. A few weeks back that seemed as unlikely as our 8 successive wins.

But is it is bad as we all think?

Taking cup games out of the equation, our last 6 league games have produced just 1 victory, 1 draw and 4 defeats.

That can be argued as being more of a trend and is definitely relegation form.

But there is something that I haven't seen posted much on here concerning the reasons for the drop off. Of those 6 games, four have been away from home, and one of the 2 home games was Swansea, the table toppers. Even the 2 cup matches were away (Rushden and Barnet) so that means that the Blues have only graced the Roots Hall turf twice in any competition since 9/10.

We now have a spell coming up that reverses that pattern. Again, cup matches aside, we have 4 home matches and 2 away up to the end of the year.

If we have any play off/promotion aspirations at all, then Chesterfield and Bradford at home should both produce victories. Huddersfield away will be very tough and I can't see us getting anything there, but MK Dons at home again on Boxing Day is a game we should win. Hartlepool is a long haul midweek but we should be able to get a point. We finish the year with a New Years eve game at home to Bournemouth - again, very winnable.

So, that will reverse the form of the last few weeks and if we can achieve that then we have 4 wins, 1 draw and one defeat to add to the trend and over the 12 games we will have won 5, drawn 2 and lost 5. Our points total would be 46 from 25 games and we should be well cemented in the top 5, possibly even top 3 with that total. Incidentally, at the same stage last season we had 41 from 25 and sat 4th in league two.

So let's not judge our trend just yet. A few matches at the Hall with the fans getting behind the team should see them back to winning ways soon enough.
 
Phew, I'm glad you worked all that out - I feel much better now
smile.gif
 
Good points and well made. It has been such a long while that i am beginning to forget what Roots Hall looks like.

If we reach the turn of the year with 46 points in the bag from 25 games, i am sure that would exceed most peoples expectations when we started out in August.

Looking beyond that i think 75 points would secure a play off position, therefore 29 points from 21 games is and stating the bleeding obvious just over a point a game.

At this stage having lost 6 games to get us into an automatic spot then we can probably only afford to lose another 3 or 4 games.
 
E = MC2 x Tilson x Brush = a

a + roots hall pies x guttridge = h

a x h to the power of 6 = 7889a

7889a - 6.33 = 5th place
 
[b said:
Quote[/b] (Napster @ Nov. 29 2005,13:49)]we need a new keeper, a new left back and a striker who can score!
We have 3 strikers who can score.

I agree re left back.

Either keeper is fine at this level.

We need a tall, fast and young centre half. Spinner and Eagle are experienced but Barrett is struggling.
 
[b said:
Quote[/b] (fbm @ Nov. 29 2005,14:04)]
[b said:
Quote[/b] (Napster @ Nov. 29 2005,13:49)]we need a new keeper, a new left back and a striker who can score!
We have 3 strikers who can score.

I agree re left back.

Either keeper is fine at this level.

We need a tall, fast and young centre half.  Spinner and Eagle are experienced but Barrett is struggling.
I didn't have to wait too long for someone to bite, did I?

Blimey. Standards are dropping!

tounge.gif
 
[b said:
Quote[/b] (Napster @ Nov. 29 2005,14:06)]
[b said:
Quote[/b] (fbm @ Nov. 29 2005,14:04)]
[b said:
Quote[/b] (Napster @ Nov. 29 2005,13:49)]we need a new keeper, a new left back and a striker who can score!
We have 3 strikers who can score.

I agree re left back.

Either keeper is fine at this level.

We need a tall, fast and young centre half.  Spinner and Eagle are experienced but Barrett is struggling.
I didn't have to wait too long for someone to bite, did I?

Blimey. Standards are dropping!

tounge.gif
upside.gif


I've been out of the loop too long...


Bloody fisherman!

laugh.gif
 
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