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Coronavirus (Non-Politics)

mattitouk

Life President
Joined
Oct 7, 2008
Messages
6,445
Location
RTW
UK predicted to be worst hit nation in Europe with 66k deaths by August. Deaths to peak at around 3k a day...
Looking at their current death figures, & us having a bigger population than France & Italy (and more closely condensed in inner city areas), I wouldn't be overly surprised by that statement.

I truly hope your post is way off the mark, but i really struggle to see why it wouldn't be. (well 3k is defo top end but 2K a day, is possible at peak)..... France today had over 1,400... So why not us?.. and we were late to the game.

The government said we would hit peak around Easter and the next week beyond..... All we can do is "lets see".
 
Last edited:

leroyjean

Youth Team
Joined
Mar 19, 2011
Messages
236
UK predicted to be worst hit nation in Europe with 66k deaths by August. Deaths to peak at around 3k a day...
This “information” comes to you courtesy of the Daily Mail and the University of Washington, who have not factored the Nightingale hospital among others into their modelling.
 

Pubey

Frequent flyer in all buzzing chatrooms
Joined
Jan 3, 2018
Messages
31,288
Looking at their current death figures, & us having a bigger population than France & Italy (and more closely condensed in inner city areas), I wouldn't be overly surprised by that statement.

I truly hope your post is way off the mark, but i really struggle to see why it wouldn't be. (well 3k is defo top end but 2K a day, is possible at peak).

The goverment said we would hit peak around Easter and the next week beyond..... All we can do is "lets see".
the government have been slightly revising their views. Now we're 3/4 weeks behind Italy who appear they might just be past their peak. So we could still be up to 3 weeks away, and that's just an estimate.
 

Up the Shrimpers

Life President
Joined
Oct 30, 2003
Messages
7,618
So what do people think. At least another 3 weeks from Easter Monday of the current soft lockdown or a hard lockdown?
 

Flinty

Not a member
Joined
Jun 19, 2006
Messages
3,164
Location
Westcliff
I saw more groups of people wandering down my street today than ever before, I seriously think people are starting to come back out again having been bored for 2 weeks
 

Pubey

Frequent flyer in all buzzing chatrooms
Joined
Jan 3, 2018
Messages
31,288
I saw more groups of people wandering down my street today than ever before, I seriously think people are starting to come back out again having been bored for 2 weeks
Might be that more people are around due to it being easter holidays, and more and more business are fuloughing (is that a verb?)

It's still very quiet up our way, which is good.
 

Flinty

Not a member
Joined
Jun 19, 2006
Messages
3,164
Location
Westcliff
Might be that more people are around due to it being easter holidays, and more and more business are fuloughing (is that a verb?)

It's still very quiet up our way, which is good.
These weren’t family groups I’m afraid more groups of lads !
 

wakes123

Manager
Joined
Aug 8, 2011
Messages
1,839
Location
Westcliff-On-Sea
So what do people think. At least another 3 weeks from Easter Monday of the current soft lockdown or a hard lockdown?
I would guess at least that yes.

I keep being told to trust the chief medical & science officers, trust the models etc. but to go from a hurd immunity strategy what was that a month ago to then completely do a 180 a few days later and then adopt a social distancing strategy worried me a lot and I don't think that got as much scrutiny as it should have. It was a huge U Turn.

To see sources saying we might be worst hit in Europe doesn't surprise me unfortunately.
 

Up the Shrimpers

Life President
Joined
Oct 30, 2003
Messages
7,618
I would guess at least that yes.

I keep being told to trust the chief medical & science officers, trust the models etc. but to go from a hurd immunity strategy what was that a month ago to then completely do a 180 a few days later and then adopt a social distancing strategy worried me a lot and I don't think that got as much scrutiny as it should have. It was a huge U Turn.

To see sources saying we might be worst hit in Europe doesn't surprise me unfortunately.
I think Sweden are still trying the herd immunity approach, no social distancing in place shops, bars etc all still open.
Obviously not a very highly populated country it may work better there. My Swedish friend is not so sure.
 

THE SEVENTIES NORTH BANK

Life President
Joined
Dec 10, 2006
Messages
11,008
Location
SHOEBURY
So what do people think. At least another 3 weeks from Easter Monday of the current soft lockdown or a hard lockdown?
I'm going hard lockdown starting in the next two weeks. So many not taking it seriously. Locally in Shoebury and Priory Parks. Sunbathing, picnics and playing football. Hyde park was mobbed one sunny day last week, and another park in South London had over 3000 that they had to disperse and lock the gates. People are not keeping their distance, and touching things like hand rails and park benches with bare hands. That can't go on. All parks should be shut and be off limits, for a start.
 

Another Surrey Shrimper

Life President
Joined
Jun 4, 2011
Messages
8,827
Location
Carshalton, Surrey
Krishnan Guru-Murthy:

DoH says 786 new UK Covid 19 deaths in 24 hrs to 5pm Monday. NHS England, Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland figures to 2pm today total 854. But after latest ONS revelations is all likely to be MUCH higher - possibly double that.
 

Tangled up in Blue

Certified Senior Citizen
Joined
May 24, 2004
Messages
28,684
Location
Sant Cugat del Vallès
I think Sweden are still trying the herd immunity approach, no social distancing in place shops, bars etc all still open.
Obviously not a very highly populated country it may work better there. My Swedish friend is not so sure.

Nor's my English friend in Sweden.


The worrying thing about that Grauniad article (for me) was that it was predicting terrible figures for the UK in August.
 

THE SEVENTIES NORTH BANK

Life President
Joined
Dec 10, 2006
Messages
11,008
Location
SHOEBURY
Bonkers. Just seen on the BBC that the football league is continuing in Belarus, despite the virus spreading across the country. So live games. live coverage. Although some fans wear masks. The barmy president said there is nothing to worry about, and totally playing down this deadly virus. A mixed reaction from fans, as some are staying away, and some are saying they need to support the clubs and the players.
 
Joined
Aug 9, 2010
Messages
1,334
Nor's my English friend in Sweden.


The worrying thing about that Grauniad article (for me) was that it was predicting terrible figures for the UK in August.
On what basis a 2nd wave ?
Apart from China has any other country started to come out the other side yet.Again mistakes will be made but hopefully the UK will follow the most successful models.
Doesn't help that so many countries use different different methods of recording so difficult to get a clear picture
 

lordlumpington

Manager
Joined
Dec 10, 2003
Messages
1,311
I walked through Hockley woods yesterday and a lot of teenagers loitering or walking around. Obviously they aren't from the same family. One couple passed me and made not attempt to single file as we passed. And I had to inhale her cigarette smoke to boot!
 
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