Escape the drop or relegation?

[chipmunx]

I would be very surprised if Port Vale only got 5 more points between now and the end of the season. They have got goals in them - Dave Worrall is back from injury and Theo is back in favour. Would be ironic if Theo gets us relegated.

the problem with any PPG projections is that they don't take account for teams playing each other;-
for instance - Barrow have to play away at Colchester - but face Southend, Port Vale and Grimsby at home.

 

[LBBlue]

the problem with any PPG projections is that they don't take account for teams playing each other;-
for instance - Barrow have to play away at Colchester - but face Southend, Port Vale and Grimsby at home.

And they are based on who you have just played and not on who you are due to play.

 

[Chapperz]

And they are based on who you have just played and not on who you are due to play.

If you base the next fixtures against how the reverse went, we will gain 18 points (wins against Scunthorpe, Walsall, Colchester, Barrow and Newport with draws against Stevenage, Crawley and Exeter.

League Table will end like this:
Port Vale - 50 points
Colchester - 47 points (doesn't include 4 games vs Tranmere and Salford)
Southend - 47 points
Barrow - 41 points (doesn't include 2 games vs Exeter)
Grimsby - 34 points

Of course the games will be different due to team form, player form, team selection, injuries, referee etc.

 

[Up the Shrimpers]

Think that's our lot now. Looks like we won't even get 40 points.
Anyone changing their vote?

 

[slapheadsteve]

Wallsall is massive now, anything less than a win on Tuesday.
I will changer my vote but i am hedging my bets.
We still have Col Utd to play.
So 3 points on Tuesday. Yes i will still bealive

 

[Shrimper]

If we don't win on Tuesday then I'll change my vote

 

[Flinty]

Tuesday now is a must win for me....lose or draw and I’ll finally be resigned to our relegation

 

[chipmunx]

guys - the late equaliser (and out equally late winner) might not seam great - but win against Walsall Tuesday and you've cut the gap from them to you to 5 points from 9 in 2 games.....
and you could be only 4 points behind Colchester.....

 

[Floval Flyer]

With 1 minute to go I thought we’d have a great chance of survival. 5 mins later I thought absolutely no chance

 

[mfurok]

With 1 minute to go I thought we’d have a great chance of survival. 5 mins later I thought absolutely no chance

Let’s just concentrate on the main objective- ensuring that everyone turns up on time for training.

 

[Floval Flyer]

Let’s just concentrate on the main objective- ensuring that everyone turns up on time for training.

Thought Ranger was injured ?

 

[mfurok]

Thought Ranger was injured ?

That’s probably project objective achieved then.

Pay rise for MM.

 

[Ex-SouthendUnitedEmployee]

Fail to beat Walsall on Tuesday then it’s all but over.
We do still have Colchester and Barrow to play.

Barrow still have two games in hand and in form so we may be discount dragging them back into this.

Walsall have a game in hand and 8 points clear of us.

So it’s almost inevitable now that one team in Essex is going down...while we do play them (away) Colchester need to continue not picking up a single point while we go on a promotion form all the sudden.

where are the points coming from?

Tuesday 23rd - Walsall (home) currently 20th

Sar 27th - Harrogate (away) currently 13th

3rd April - Carlisle (home) currently 11th

6th April - Morecambe (away ) currently 6th

10th April - Crawley (home) currently 10th

17th April - Exeter (away) currently 8th

20th April - Colchester (away) currently 22nd

24th April - Leyton Orient (home) currently 14th

1st May - Barrow (away) currently 21st

8th May - Newport (home) currently 7th

So 30 points to play for... how many can you honest see is taking from the above?

 

[Jmayhew32]

We need 7 points from the next 3 games - anything else and we’re down surely?

 

[Up the Shrimpers]

We need 7 points from the next 3 games -

And then at least another 3 wins.

 

[Jmayhew32]

AT LEAST - wins against Barrow and Colchester would be great and then one or two wins from the rest

 

[Gridelet's contact lens]

AT LEAST - wins against Barrow and Colchester would be great and then one or two wins from the rest

We are going to have score goals...there is a flaw in your plan

 

[Stuart W]

AT LEAST - wins against Barrow and Colchester would be great and then one or two wins from the rest

I would say Barrow are now irrelevant, they will stay up no problem.
We need 5 wins and 2 draws I reckon.
So the two must win games are Walsall and Colchester, to keep them in the mix.

 

[MR G]

I fear we need 15 points out of the next 30. Col U and Walsall must must wins. Been a Southend supporter for 45 years. Sad times. Does MM actually realise what this means to the fans !!

 

[Barling Magna]

Does MM actually realise what this means to the fans !!

Judging by his screaming and swearing picked up by the pitch microphone I'd say he certainly realises.